The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bernhardsson: LLM inference compute is shifting toward specialized chips like crypto mining
“I do think it's kind of fascinating how it's like kind of going in the same direction as like crypto mining towards more like specialized hardware.”
Erik Bernhardsson Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 7:41 Can AI Infrastructure Work Like Magic? Erik Bernhardsson, CEO, Modal
Prediction Held up
Bernhardsson: AI inference spend will dominate model training spend long-term
“It's obvious that like in the long run, like inference spend will dominate just for like the obvious reason that like, that's where you make the money, right? Like, you know, when you're training a big model, that's like, you know, you, you're spending a lot o…”
Erik Bernhardsson Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 24:04 Can AI Infrastructure Work Like Magic? Erik Bernhardsson, CEO, Modal
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bernhardsson: People will train many custom AI models in the long run
“Like, so, I don't know, I'm a big believer that, like, you know, in the long run, like, people will train a lot of different custom models.”
Erik Bernhardsson Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 9:36 Can AI Infrastructure Work Like Magic? Erik Bernhardsson, CEO, Modal
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bernhardsson: Cloud trends are shifting toward multi-tenancy and application-layer security
“I think the general wind is like blowing in the direction of like multi-tenancy and like, you know, security moving away from the sort of network layer into the app layer and a bunch of different other things.”
Erik Bernhardsson Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 30:28 Can AI Infrastructure Work Like Magic? Erik Bernhardsson, CEO, Modal
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