The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Kiela: AI systems will probably never reach 100 percent accuracy

“When are we getting to a hundred percent accuracy? And I had to give them the bad news that probably never.”

Douwe Kiela Mar 6, 2025 ▶ 48:21 Top AI Researcher on GPT 4.5, DeepSeek and Agentic RAG | Douwe Kiela, CEO, Contextual AI

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Kiela: AI is heading toward specialized language models over generalists

“Where we're headed is that we will have more specialized language models.”

Douwe Kiela Mar 6, 2025 ▶ 13:31 Top AI Researcher on GPT 4.5, DeepSeek and Agentic RAG | Douwe Kiela, CEO, Contextual AI

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The Ledger

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