why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
DeepMind's reinforcement learning fails on minor visual changes while Vicarious succeeds
“So if you use, ah, if you compare, ah, Vicarious, ah, system with, ah, DeepMind system, ah, for example, if you change the brightness of the screen DeepMind system will stop playing, ah, because it will, ah, get confused, ah, and if you offset the paddle we ou…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
AI practitioners are shifting toward models inspired by neuroscience and cognitive science
“The mood is starting to shift in the field especially the practitioners that are close to the problem. They understand that, okay, the current wave of excitement has its limitations, and we need to look more deeply at the problems and import insights from neur…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Embedding assumptions about object interactions enables AI models to generalize better
“Our, what we are doing differently compared to what was attempted previously was that we are putting more assumptions into our model in the sense of that there are objects in the world. There are interactions between objects, et cetera. Those assumptions are f…”
Assertion Supported
Deep neural networks are easily fooled by abstract adversarial visual patterns
“In fact even our sophisticated deep neural networks can be fooled very easily by showing creating these weird-looking patterns, and those patterns will get interpreted with very high confidence as, you know, things like starfish, freight car, remote control et…”
Assertion Supported
Vicarious AI broke text-based CAPTCHAs with a generative visual perception model
“So this is something that we published in science in like, you know, last year, almost a year back. It's a generative model for visual perception, so it's generative, so it can imagine things trains with very little data and you know, it can do inference in th…”
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2023
Deep learning systems outperform humans at classifying QR codes
“If I show you QR codes and ask you to classify QR codes, humans will completely fail, whereas deep learning systems will succeed.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vicarious AI sped up its algorithms 500x for real-time robot operation
“In the last year we sped up the algorithms by about 500 times, and now they are able to run real time on the robots and there is still optimizations to be done.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cheap hardware exists in 2018, but general-purpose robotics does not
“Ok, so it's 2018, and we have cheap motors, and sensors, and processors, and hardware et cetera, but we don't have Rosie the Robot.”