The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walsher: Cursor announced reaching $500M in ARR
“Cursor, maybe three weeks ago, announced they're at five hundred million dollars of ARR.”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 7:51 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
Assertion Partly supported
Walsher: Computer science graduates face top-tier college unemployment rates
“Computer science grads are actually among the top five or six majors graduating from college right now with the highest unemployment rate.”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 29:46 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walsher: Lovable reached $60M ARR in two quarters
“Lovable, which allows people to create prototypes and web apps through a series of prompts, has gone zero to sixty million dollars of ARR in the last two quarters.”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 8:03 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walsher: Windsurf recently reached $100M in ARR
“Windsurf, which is rumored to have sold to OpenAI Hit a hundred million dollars of ARR quite recently.”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 9:26 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walsher: Replit grew ARR from $10M to $100M in six months
“And then Replit, which went from 10 to a hundred million dollars of ARR in just the last six months.”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 9:34 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
Assertion Not checkable as stated
FirstMark survey: 82% of developers use AI to write code
“We've seen a 30 to 50% faster throughput. We've seen a 12% increase in PR merges. This is a really important compounding stat here on the bottom left, which is a 17% increase in the amount of time folks are spending on roadmap versus maintenance and keeping th…”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 11:37 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walsher: GitHub Copilot reached $400M ARR and 15M developers
“GitHub Copilot, which I know you just had Thomas on the podcast not too long ago. Four hundred million dollars of ARR, fifteen million developers, very much the steward of this category first mover.”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 8:13 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walsher: End-to-end AI coding agents are currently limited to low-complexity tasks
“And for now, many of the agentic solutions that are truly end to end, you know, complete something are very much being pointed at lower level tasks that I'd say are quote unquote more mindless that have less dependency complexity you know, that have less of a …”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 13:40 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walsher: Code test flakiness is skyrocketing due to AI code generation
“We're just seeing like flakiness generally across code skyrocketing.”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 25:15 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
Assertion Contradicted
Walsher: Global software developer population grew 7x since 2006
“Over that time, so from, call it, 2006 all the way to now estimated about seven x growth in the number of global software developers”
David Walsher Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 3:44 AI Engineering Revolution: Winners, Chaos & What’s Next | FirstMark
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