why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Mega-fund VCs are just lottery ticket buyers lacking company-building skills
“And I think a lot of my contemporaries are lottery ticket buyers. And, you know, you have a three billion dollar fund, and you're just buying lottery tickets, and because you don't know how to build companies, your only value is paying more.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Big data infrastructure startups launching in 2014 will lack successful exits
“If you're coming out as a Vertica today, you're not going to have a happy ending.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tech startup valuations in mid-2014 are unwarranted and unsustainable
“There's gonna be a lot of you know, broken hearts and tears are gonna fall, because I don't think that, that those valuations are warranted, are sustainable and that's too bad.”
Opinion
Zynga is an analytics company masquerading as a gaming company
“Zynga is really an analytics company masquerading as a gaming company.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Telecoms will eventually offer free service in exchange for consumer data
“I think the day will come shortly where, you know, I've got the Verizon family plan, and I pay, you know, a lot of money for my cell phone. And they use my information, my family's information. They monetize that. I think the day will come that if Verizon and …”
Disclosure
Atlas Venture will not fund startups rebuilding existing software platforms
“So for my money, I don't want you to spend my money rebuilding, even if it's a little bit better, something that's been built. I want you to spend my money taking something that's been built that's good and disintermediating those guys.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Consumers will eventually own and monetize their digital footprints
“As individuals, I think we're going to evolve to have enough sophistication that we own our digital footprint, and that we opt in to the economics Of the value of that.”
Assertion Partly supported
Vertica was acquired for approximately $400 million
“We sold the company for about four hundred million dollars.”