why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stancil: Modern data stack startups face an inevitable market reckoning
“Pretty quickly you're gonna realize they're all stepping on each other's toes, and that, that fallout has to go somewhere. Like, not all of these companies can be the next Figma that they all now say that they are, and so it's what happens then, and I think it…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stancil: dbt's initial ease of use may become its downfall
“Dbt is, I think, really popular because it's so easy to get up and running, but it may also eventually be, like, if it had an undoing, to me that would be the undoing, is the thing that was really easy to get up and running doesn't actually solve the real prob…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stancil: Native SaaS warehouse connections could undercut Fivetran's core revenue
“You know, it doesn't undercut everything for Fivetran, but it potentially undercuts the big sources, which I imagine are the things that are, like, the real drivers of revenue for them.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stancil: Enterprise data market won't support 1,000 unicorns
“The median outcome is the data philosophies of Facebook and LinkedIn and all these kind of early tech companies gets adopted by the enterprise, and so all these sort of modern data tools that tech companies buy today go off and get sold to Coca-Cola and Caterp…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stancil: Integration standards will be set by Snowflake, not open standards
“I don't think the way we get there is sort of like through open standards and stuff like that. I don't think anybody will actually adhere to that. I think most likely what happens is Snowflake basically says, hey, if you do things in this particular way, we ca…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Benn Stancil: Analytics tools will eventually embed directly inside workflow software
“You could potentially incorporate data into that, such that the data sort of surfaced to people in the moment they need it in the product you're trying to use to solve the problem, instead of going to a dashboard and, like, clicking on some stuff. So I think t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Benn Stancil: Data teams average 2% to 5% of tech headcount
“For the most part these groups average somewhere between like two and five percent. Ah, so about four percent of a company is, is analytics focused.”