why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Evans: Submitting 1,000 prompts placed ChatGPT users in top 20%
“Turns out that if you did a thousand posts, if you did a thousand prompts last year, you're in the top 20%.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Google and Meta delayed LLMs in 2022 due to high error rates
“This is why Google and Meta didn't launch their own LLMs in twenty-twenty-two when they had them as well, because they looked at them and said, well, they're wrong too much.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Typical big US company uses 400 to 500 vertical SaaS apps
“And so this is why the typical big US company today has, depending on your numbers, like four to 500 vertical SaaS apps.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Spreadsheets increased finance employment rather than causing job losses
“Spreadsheets did not result in a collapse in the number of people working in finance. They're quite the opposite. You have way more people in finance, because now it's possible to do all this more, all this new stuff that you couldn't have done before.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Nvidia sells integrated computer systems, not just GPU chips
“People still think of NVIDIA as making GPUs in the sense that they make chips and sell chips. That's not what they do. They sell computers. They sell custom computers, kind of like Sun Microsystems did with a whole networking stack and a software stack on top …”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Big Tech data center spending will exceed $300B this year
“Google, Meta AWS, not Amazon overall, AWS only, and Microsoft spent about two hundred twenty billion dollars building data centers last year, and will spend about 300, maybe over 300 this year, depending on where their numbers come out.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Accenture recorded $1.4B in generative AI bookings in one quarter
“Accenture built 1.4 billion, booked 1.4 billion of new generative AI bookings last quarter.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: The typical enterprise today runs 400 to 500 SaaS apps
“Why is it that the typical enterprise today has four to 500 SaaS apps?”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Predictions that only tech giants had enough AI data were wrong
“And this is clearly what happened with the last wave of machine learning. There was a brief moment where people said it needs all this data. Only Google's got all the data. There's going to be, like, three people who've got enough data to do AI, and that turne…”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Nvidia hit over $70B in trailing 12-month free cash flow
“I mean, I haven't looked at, I haven't updated my number here, but like, I think Q three last year, I think NVIDIA had something over seventy billion dollars of trading 12 months free cash flow.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: ChatGPT usage on Google Trends drops sharply in summer and Christmas
“I mean, it's funny if you look at Google Trends. There's a big sag in the summer and then a big sag in the Christmas week.”