The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Ben Vigoda: Neurons and synapses are the wrong abstraction for AI
“Neurons and synapses is not the right abstraction. Models should be programs, specifically programs that simulate the system that generated the data.”
Ben Vigoda: Machine learning variables must include uncertainty and error bars
“Every variable that you're trying to infer in a program should come with an uncertainty. Neural networks today are just, they're just a number in the neuron. It's like an activation level. But you need error bars around those numbers.”
Ben Vigoda: Deep learning is excellent at instinct but poor at thought
“AI is really good at instinct. I mean deep learning, it's not so great at thought.”
Changing deep learning target categories requires retraining models from scratch
“But if you want to change your columns, your categories, then you have to redo all your multiple choice tests and then retrain the system. And if you want to change the categories, you have to start over.”
Cell phones would drop calls 1,000x more often without Bayesian probability bounds
“You would drop calls a thousand times more often if there were, if cell phone receivers didn't found uncertainty in one patient.”
A major New York bank receives 1.2 billion text messages annually
“One big bank in, in New York City that we've been talking to gets 1.2 billion of these little text messages a year.”
Gamalon reduced an automaker's text processing costs from $1.25 to 10 cents
“We're able to work with them for a few weeks and generate a model, and they're actually, we're paying a dollar 25 per utterance to get them read. It took months to do it every year, and now it takes 25 milliseconds, and they pay 10 cents.”