why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Amr Awadallah claims Vectara has solved the LLM hallucination problem
“I mean, you do have a human in the loop, so you can still qualify it, but we want it to be minimized to zero, and that's the problem that we solved.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Secondary AI fact-checking models will reduce hallucinations to zero, predicts Awadallah
“You're going to have models that check the accuracy of other models, and that will help us bring down hallucination to zero.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Retrieval-augmented generation is 100 times cheaper than fine-tuning, says Amr Awadallah
“The grounded generation approach is real time. A new fact comes in is showing up in the answers right away. There is no hallucination. I mean, you minimize it significantly and the cost is a hundred times cheaper.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Top developers, lawyers, and doctors will become 1,000x more productive using AI
“The 10 X developers, the 10 Xer developers, they are not going to be a hundred X. They're going to be a thousand X. The 10 X lawyers, they're going to be a thousand X. The 10 X VCs, they're going to be a thousand X. The 10 X doctors, they're going to be a thou…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Future applications will rely on containerized microservices and service meshes
“The future of applications and infrastructure that they run on Is created with containerized microservices. So microservices is a very key part of this approach. Managed through a declarative system with a single control experience that uses a service mesh to …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Enterprise software takes years to reach market and update
“Applications within the enterprise, they take years. To get to the markets. And when they get to the market, it takes a year before they get updated again to the next release or the next version.”
Assertion Supported
Google Cloud reached a $10B annual revenue run rate by early 2020
“Google, very recently, actually I think last week for the first time spit out how much they make from cloud. And the cloud revenue run rate right now is ten billion dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Google Anthos drove a 13x deployment velocity gain for a financial client
“They moved from an innovation cycle where they have been only deploying new updates and changes to their apps once a quarter, To once a month, and they're very quickly now on the path to send out new updates every week. That's a 13 x improvement in the rate of…”
Assertion Supported
Google-built Kubernetes is the standard across all cloud vendors
“Kubernetes clearly which was built by Google, is the standard now for doing this”
Assertion Supported
Cloudera reached a $700M annual revenue run rate by late 2019
“When I left a few months ago, Cloudera's annual run rate in terms of revenue was about seven hundred million dollars per year.”