The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Future AI systems will rely on small, dedicated models for routine tasks
“I don't think so, because I think nature is pretty smart. And if you look at how our Brain operates. We have a very good cognitive engine, but we are not using that cognitive engine to do trivial tasks. It's way too expensive. If you want to learn to swim or t…”
Daniel Dines May 31, 2024 ▶ 49:06 From Tiny Romanian Startup to Global AI Automation Leader | Daniel Dines, CEO of UIPath
Disclosure
Lambert: AI2 coined 'reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards' replicating Llama 3
“We spent a long time to try to replicate what we thought was close to Lama three post training with multiple stages and optimizers, which is the project that like came up with the name reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards with a bunch of people.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 29:22 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
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