why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
IBM Watson's $60M MD Anderson oncology project was a complete failure
“Now several years later, and sixty million dollars down the drain, that initiative failed. It actually failed.”
Prediction Held up
Bordes: Direct machine reading will eventually match IBM Watson's performance
“The goal is that, ah, eventually, by trying to understand the text directly, you can actually at least equal, all the information by Watson is in text, in free text.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bordes: Direct machine reading on Wikipedia currently lags IBM Watson
“So of course, in the end, right now, a system just based on Wikipedia is much worse than what can be done by Watson, using all the databases.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
IBM Watson was engineered as modular specialized bots, not one model
“The right way to think of Watson is, And the engineering is, is a lot of cooperating little bots. So think of all of the Watson engines as having an NLP component which is trained according to the domain. So there isn't one Watson, there's a bunch of them.”
Assertion Supported
IBM Watson used Apache UIMA and did not replace Hadoop
“I wouldn't assert that it replaces Hadoop. In fact, it's based on UEMA. It's an Apache project.”
Assertion Partly supported
IBM Watson released a cookbook on Amazon with 50 AI-created recipes
“There's a cookbook out also, and it's available on Amazon. Done, done with the Institute of Culinary Education. There's kind of 50 Watson-created recipes.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Oncologists, not financial firms, first contacted IBM Watson after Jeopardy
“The first people to call us after the Watson game, we expected the standard, I should say, really, really interesting IBM Customers, financial houses, didn't call us. In fact, oncologists, cancer doctors did.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
IBM Watson hardware efficiency improved 1,700x since the Jeopardy setup
“Watson began life as a, 2300 power seven servers running a multi-processing version of Watson, all in memory, running on Linux. The original cluster is still in Yorktown, people still want to see it. We've improved it by a factor of about 1700, so now it's a l…”
Disclosure
IBM Watson has made three minority investments in startups
“And we've done, I guess, three minority investments in startups who have decided to work with us.”