The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Howard: OpenAI compute spending grows exponentially while model utility scales logarithmically
“They kept on kind of exponentially increasing the amount they were spending on their models, whilst the Return, you know, the kind of utility of those models was only increasing logarithmically, and you kind of very quickly hit this point where it's like, oh, …”
Jeremy Howard May 15, 2025 ▶ 8:20 Jeremy Howard on Building 5,000 AI Products with 14 People (Answer AI Deep-Dive)
Assertion Supported
Howard: OpenAI is shutting down GPT-4.5
“I think they're shutting down that product or they've shut down that product, if I understand correctly.”
Jeremy Howard May 15, 2025 ▶ 8:58 Jeremy Howard on Building 5,000 AI Products with 14 People (Answer AI Deep-Dive)
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