why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Tworek: OpenAI team was initially underwhelmed by pre-trained GPT-4
“When we trained GPT-IV, we were pretty underwhelmed internally, and then there was a lot of moments, oh, we trained this small, we spent a lot of money on it, and it's kind of like, you know, pretty dumb, at least, like, you know, we have GPT-IV, GPT-III alrea…”
Disclosure
Writer relied on GPT-3 for only a brief three-month period
“So we, we've always had our own technology down to the LLM. There was a very brief period, literally like three months, where we, for some of our apps, used GPT-III because it was just so much better.”
Assertion Partly supported
Fine-tuning a GPT-3 class model with LoRA provides a 10,000x efficiency boost
“I think for something like a GPD three level model, it's a 10,000 X speed up in efficiency while losing nearly not much at all in accuracy.”
Assertion Supported
Zhou: Fine-tuning transformed GPT-3 into ChatGPT
“Fine tuning is the technology that got from a research project in 2020 called GPT-III and turned that into ChatGPT, a billion dollar app, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Falcon: PyTorch Lightning's original tooling was insufficient for post-GPT-3 architectures
“The tool that we had was good for 2016 through 20 19 deep learning, but as of GPT three deep learning, it wasn't good enough, and so we had to upgrade to this kind of new paradigm that we introduced.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mann: GPT-3 was vastly better than decades of prior NLP systems
“Two years ago, I remember being shocked at GPT-III when it was released, because it was just so, I'm an old NLP guy, and it was so vastly better than anything that, that we could build for decades.”
Disclosure
Replit was among the first companies to build on GPT-3
“When GPT-III came out, I think we were one of the first companies to build anything on top of it. The first thing we built was like, you highlight a piece of code and you explain it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
GPT-3 was too expensive and slow for real-time code autocomplete
“It was really hard to build anything like that with GPT-III. It was expensive. It was slow.”