The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
DeepMind's reinforcement learning fails on minor visual changes while Vicarious succeeds
“So if you use, ah, if you compare, ah, Vicarious, ah, system with, ah, DeepMind system, ah, for example, if you change the brightness of the screen DeepMind system will stop playing, ah, because it will, ah, get confused, ah, and if you offset the paddle we ou…”
Dileep George Dec 11, 2018 ▶ 12:09 The State of AI & What's Next // Dileep George, Vicarious AI (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Assertion Supported
DeepMind reasoning models identified disease targets validated in wet labs
“And so DeepMind has shown that you can integrate this kind of reasoning model to sort of decipher new targets for disease, new mechanisms that were actually also proven in a wet lab scenario post facto.”
Nathan Benaich Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 3:36 State of AI 2025 with Nathan Benaich: Power Deals, Reasoning Breakthroughs, Real Revenue
Assertion Supported
OpenAI and DeepMind achieved Math Olympiad gold medals
“And, you know, we saw gold medals on the International Math Olympiad by a couple of labs, including OpenAI and DeepMind.”
Nathan Benaich Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 2:52 State of AI 2025 with Nathan Benaich: Power Deals, Reasoning Breakthroughs, Real Revenue
Assertion Supported
Marcus: DeepMind's deep RL required millions of data points per game
“This is what DeepMind used in their systems, and they used a version called deep reinforcement learning. And what they did is they collected billions or, you know, probably millions of data points for each game.”
Gary Marcus Jan 25, 2016 ▶ 14:02 Can A.I. Become More Human? // Gary Marcus, Geometric Intelligence (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
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