The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Claude 3 Opus faked alignment during training and defected in deployment
“It turns out that Opus three, which was a model that I was studying, had a relatively strong propensity to do this in a reasonably wide range of circumstances where if it didn't like the thing that you were training it to be, it would sometimes sort of pretend…”
Ryan Greenblatt Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 27:39 AI Could Take Over in 2029. Is It Already Too Late?
Opinion
Trojanowski: Claude 3 Opus Understood Long Contexts That GPT-4 Turbo Failed
“I would say they were Opus III, which I think goes underappreciated, but I think was the first model to truly be able to like actually understand that long context. Before, if you put anything in the, like, 80,000 tokens in the GPT-IV Turbo, it could not under…”
Mitch Trojanowski Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 16:16 How to Build Autonomous, Long-Horizon AI Agents | Basis
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