why aren't all 32 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Canva co-founder Melanie Perkins aims to build the world's most valuable company
“So Mel, ah, has a two-step plan for Canva, which is to create the world's most valuable company, and then do the most good in the world that we can.”
Opinion
Canva's proprietary design data uniquely positions it to build foundation models
“So maybe that advice of kind of like, don't be in the foundation, foundational model Space is good general advice, but we think that we are in a quite unique position in terms of the data that we have to pursue that particular avenue.”
Insight
Misra: Video cannot be templated without AI content understanding
“Like you actually can't templateize video because the nature of it is completely, it's unknown, right? It could be saying anything. It could be doing anything. Anything would be happening. The, template just can't fit with, it can't understand what's happening…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dedicated AI engineers will eventually become obsolete like database administrators
“We think that, you know, once upon a time in software teams, you'd have a DBA on the team, but now a DBA is not really a skill anymore because everyone, that the abstractions above databases are such that you don't really need that deep skill unless you're dea…”
Assertion Supported
Canva established a $200 million fund to compensate AI training contributors
“We do have a creators fund I think it's two hundred million dollars and it's designed to reward creators.”
Disclosure
Canva built an internal implementation of the Model Context Protocol
“We have our own model context protocol that we've stood up just in internally, ah, and we're certainly talking to the big vendors about, ah, interactions there that are possible.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Canva engineers using AI coding tools merge 30% more pull requests
“We're seeing about 30% more PRs merged for, from engineers who are using these tools predominantly.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Canva engineer submitted a 50,000-line AI pull request
“We had Brendan Humphreys, CTO of Canva, who was talking about that exactly, which is, okay, this is great that you can create code, but, like, we had one guy who submitted a PR that was 50,000 lines and they have a peer review culture, and Yeah. They basically…”
Insight
Distributed engineering teams need autonomous product seams to function across time zones
“The key is to find ways for teams in, kind of, incompatible time zones to be autonomous, as autonomous as possible. Usually that means just finding the right seams in the product, so there's real ownership in, in these locations, and that's what we've strived …”
Disclosure
Canva mandates that developers fully understand and own all AI-generated code
“We have a very important rule that you need to own the output of the tool. That means you have to understand it as if you'd written everything yourself, because ultimately the generated source is the source of truth, and it's going to go, go into the repositor…”
Assertion Supported
Humphreys: Niche AI startups gain mass distribution through Canva integrations
“A lot of niche AI startups are finding is a fantastic distribution channel. So, they've got their niche their niche product, they can come and build a rich integration into Canva, and then suddenly they get distribution, they get a lot of users.”
What-if
Failing to abstract region-based storage early cost Canva a monumental re-architecture
“Very early in Canva's architectural journey, we put a quite good abstraction in over our AWS infrastructure, but I do think back now and wonder, oof, we could have just spent a little bit more time Really abstraction, abstracting region-based storage. It would…”
Disclosure
Canva is natively integrating Google's Veo 3 video model
“We are integrating VO three, which is Google's new amazing video generation model natively into Canva.”
Assertion Supported
Canva employs approximately 2,300 software engineers globally
“Now we have about 2300 engineers.”
Opinion
Humphreys: Canva is well-positioned to integrate third-party visual AI models
“Look, we're certainly alert to the rise in visual AI, but we feel we're actually really well positioned. We can Use third party models when they become available, integrate them into our platform very, very quickly, and provide a really rich, cohesive experien…”
Disclosure
Canva is slowing hiring to evaluate the impact of AI tools
“We have slowed down hiring a little bit for a number of reasons. We are looking at, you know, we wanted to just take a pause and understand where the market's going with these AI tools. We are still hiring, but it's not hiring as fast.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Canva possesses billions of unique opt-in design data points
“We have billions of very unique opt-in data points Around design creation, design intent, ingredient selection.”
Opinion
Canva CTO praises inference serving on Google Vertex AI and AWS Bedrock
“I think certainly Vertex or Bedrock really impressive inference serving.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Canva Code went from concept to production in just three months
“Canva code is, is an interesting feature that we've just launched just back in April. That's a feature that allows users to build little intelligent interactive widgets in their designs. That went from kind of first idea through to production in about three mo…”
Insight
Retrofitting enterprise admin controls and data residency is extremely expensive
“Enterprise customers want sophisticated admin controls. They want sophisticated auth. They want data residency. These kinds of considerations, if you haven't baked them into your product early, they become quite expensive to retrofit.”
Disclosure
Canva spent two years re-engineering its core editor without adding features
“We went through a huge re-engineering effort. Two years of, to rebuild this editor without adding really much of any new features.”
Disclosure
Canva uses agentic AI flows to handle first-line customer support queries
“Internally, we have agentic solutions deployed, for instance, in our customer support, We're using a lot of agentic solution there, where First line support when a query comes in from a user that goes through an agentic flow and quite often we can handle user …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Canva has roughly 400 engineers across Europe via acquisitions
“So we have about 400 engineers right through Europe through our acquisitions.”
Disclosure
Humphreys: Canva built AI model abstraction layer over OpenAI, Bedrock, and SageMaker
“We've invested enormously in putting a platform abstraction over a lot of the third party AI that we use whether that's kind of like base layer infrastructure like Bedrock or SageMaker, or whether it's third party AI providers like OpenAI, and that allows us t…”
Disclosure
Canva will raise its hiring bar for junior developers due to AI
“So I think at Canva we'll be focusing on probably just more careful onboarding, more careful peer review of grads. We will be more picky. We will be looking for the grads who bring deep first principles thinking strong, really strong CS fundamentals, but also …”
Disclosure
Canva acquired Leonardo.ai primarily for its AI research capabilities
“We primarily acquired Leo for their research capability, though.”
Assertion Partly supported
Canva's founders donated the vast majority of their equity to charity
“And that's, so there is the Canva foundation that given the vast majority of their equity in the company to the foundation, and the foundation does supports charitable causes all around the world.”
Disclosure
Canva is investing heavily in proprietary AI model development
“We are investing heavily in our own model development.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Canva employs over 200 machine learning engineers
“We have, ah, over 200, ah, machine learning engineers on staff.”
Assertion Supported
Humphreys: Canva has 5,000 total employees globally
“5000 employees.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Canva is building user video insights on top of Tinybird
“And another one that more recent one is Canva, which are building a video insights for the users on, on top of tiny bird.”
Disclosure
Canva uses Weights & Biases and an internal custom AI evaluation framework
“We use weights and biases for our evals. And we have our own eval framework that we've built.”