The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

2resolved → 0open claims → 2supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported

Chollet: Latest base LLMs score zero percent on ARC-AGI-2

“Today the latest base alarms, they're doing something like 10% on ARK-I. But on Arc two, they are doing zero percent.”

Francois Chollet Apr 3, 2025 ▶ 10:50 Chasing Real AGI: Inside ARC Prize 2025 with Chollet & Knoop

Assertion Supported

Chollet: Average human test score on ARC-AGI-2 is about 60%

“Based on our own testing, an average person in our test sample would score about 60%.”

Francois Chollet Apr 3, 2025 ▶ 46:17 Chasing Real AGI: Inside ARC Prize 2025 with Chollet & Knoop

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The Ledger

Turn any episode into a week of clips.