The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029

Dylan Patel: AMD will remain in single-digit percentage AI market share

“I don't think they'll Go beyond, like, I think they'll stay in single digits market share, single digit percentage market share.”

Dylan Patel Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 17:30 Dylan Patel: NVIDIA's New Moat & Why China is "Semiconductor Pilled”

Assertion Open · timeframe Nov 2028

Ai2 received an initial grant of two million GPU hours from AMD

“We got an initial grant from AMD at the time. There was about two million GPU hours.”

Luca Soldaini Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 26:58 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"

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The Ledger

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