The Ledger

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why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Greenblatt: Plan A will likely fail due to lacking US state capacity and political will
“And so I don't expect this to happen basically because I think the U S may not be competent enough to pull it off. Just like the U S government just doesn't, isn't necessarily have the state capacity. And in addition to that, I think I worry that like, I don't…”
Ryan Greenblatt Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 49:51 AI Could Take Over in 2029. Is It Already Too Late?
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