Jerome Pesenti, CEO of BenevolentTech at BenevolentAI, discusses E-room's law during a presentation at Data Driven NYC.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pesenti: AI matching human intelligence is at least 20-30 years away
“And I don't believe anybody has a good view as to when will match human intelligence, but it's not going to happen in the next decade, not going to happen in the next two or three decades. It's going to take much longer.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pesenti in 2020: AI will not become accessible to non-programmers anytime soon
“I don't buy that AI will be accessible to people who don't have a programming background anytime soon, right? So, but it will be part of, you know, machine learning will be part of the tool set of Any programmers, but it would still be, you know, for kind of m…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pesenti: Deepfake detection will never be a solved problem
“It's never going to be a soft problem, right? So it's always going to be an arm race. I'm confident that we can actually identify part of it. I think we can act on it. We can label it in the case where it matters to users, but I'm also confident that it's goin…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pesenti: AI will not enter another winter anytime soon
“In my opinion, you know, we're not going to go to any AI winter anytime soon.”
Opinion
Pesenti in 2020: Large neural chatbots are not ready for consumer products
“It's not ready for prime consumption, let's be clear. You know, like these bots have lots of interesting side effects. You know, you cannot really control what they're gonna say. But they are quite entertaining, quite engaging, and a lot more human-like than y…”
Prediction Held up
Pesenti in 2020: 10x annual AI compute scaling is economically unsustainable
“So we're still pushing hard, but it's not going to be 10 X per year. It's just not sustainable.”