Nathan Benaich, GP at Air Street Capital, critiques national sovereign compute programs on The MAD Podcast.
Opinion
Benaich: The AI existential risk debate was overblown
“I felt like the extra risk kind of debate was kind of overblown .”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Humanoid robotics will mirror self-driving car long-tail struggles
“My personal bet is I think it's gonna be, the humanoid space is gonna look much more like self-driving, where we have some very good isolated demos, but the long tail will kill you. And so we're gonna go through many false starts, and I think this is just the …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Top AI serving companies achieve 70% to 90% gross margins
“There are companies here that are making very, very good margins on serving their AI systems, like, 7080, sometimes 90%, depending on the modality and so, like with everything, the average number sucks but, like, when you look at the best companies, it's reall…”
Assertion Supported
Meta raises tens of billions in off-balance-sheet debt for data centers
“You have this, sort of, offloading of debt from big companies, for example, Meta, that raises tens of billions of dollars to fuel its data center ambitions, but that doesn't sit on Meta's balance sheet.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Major tech companies abandon green commitments to secure AI power
“Well, a year or two ago, big companies did make commitments to be green as of, you know, as of, you know, as soon as they started inking deals with you know, nuclear companies and, Various energy providers for data centers, all those commitments basically got,…”
Assertion Supported
Anthropic agreed to a $1.5 billion training data copyright settlement
“And then there was a biggest settlement that happened in the last few months with Anthropic that agreed to pay out one and a half billion.”