The Calls

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Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

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Prediction Held up
Average corporate AI spend hits $500,000 and will reach $1M
“The total spend on AI products per customer kind of went up from 35,000 dollars or so maybe two years ago. Now it's around half a million dollars, and it's predicted to hit a million dollars next year.”
Nathan Benaich Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 8:10 State of AI 2025 with Nathan Benaich: Power Deals, Reasoning Breakthroughs, Real Revenue
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