why aren't all 31 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Meservey: Corporate PR responses only resonate when anchored in universal principles
“So obviously my and our ulterior motives is to vindicate the company and show people that this isn't true. But if we had just done that, nobody would have cared. Or maybe a few diehards would have cared. There are people who care deeply about Substack, but not…”
Disclosure
Rachitsky: 80% of new newsletter signups come from Substack's internal network
“80% of my new signups are coming from Substack's network, the recommendations feature and their onboarding, things like that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Meservey: Substack's controversial free-speech stance succeeded by aligning with core writers
“So that was a risk that I took and we took and they were supportive and it did work out because the people who were most likely to write on Substack generally appreciate that stance.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Substack recommendations will rank among most legendary platform features
“I think this is going to go down as one of the most legendary impactful features of any platform or marketplace.”
Insight
Organize product teams around customer segments, not specific features
“The teams aren't oriented around product surfaces. Like we don't have a team that's like the app team or a team that's like the dashboard team or the podcasting team. We have teams that are oriented around customers and. Solving a bit of a timeless customer pr…”
Opinion
Andreessen: Practitioner-created podcasts and newsletters remain dramatically underrated
“The actual practitioners in the field who are actually creating content, I think probably is still like dramatically under, underrated. And I think this is a huge part of like the sub stack phenomenon and the newsletter phenomenon and the podcast phenomenon is…”
Insight
Rachitsky: Platform opportunities are rarely too late despite tech bubble perception
“A lot of times when people think that it's too late, it's definitely not too late. And it's always only just getting started, especially if you're like on Twitter all day, listening to podcasts like this, where we're surrounded with this bubble of everyone tal…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rachitsky: Over 80% of my subscribers come from Substack's network
“And at this point, over 80% of my subscribers come from Substack's network.”
Insight
Rachitsky: Annual subscriptions trap newsletter creators on an endless treadmill
“One of the big downsides people don't think about with this life is once you start charging, people start buying say an annual subscription. And that means I have to at least go for another year. And in reality, I never really wanted to stop it because the rev…”
Insight
Hearst: Fans Want to Pay Artists, but Musicians Shy Away from Monetization
“Fans want to support the artists they love. They want to open up their wallets. I mean, you've seen nothing else from a sub stack and then patrons that people are actually really happy to be a patron of the arts. And they look at it as like a badge of honor. B…”
Opinion
90% of media chatter about Substack is a product distraction
“But I'd say, 90% of the chatter about Substack is going to probably ultimately just be a distraction to our product team at the end of the day that should just be focused on Executing on the vision”
Disclosure
Substack prioritizes writer and reader control over ad models
“It starts with like an opinion for how the internet should work, where people should be in control over their destiny to a much greater extent than has ever really been the case over at least, you know, the last 1015 years where all of a sudden everyone just s…”
Insight
Substack prioritizes most valuable audiences over maximum audience size
“If you have an audience anywhere, a sub stack's never going to be the place where you have the biggest audience probably, but it's certainly should be the place where your most valuable audience comes home to where they get your best work.”
Insight
Mega-app product management requires permanent zero-sum trade-offs
“No, I think actually at Facebook, it's not necessarily whether we do a thing. It's not like we do this now, we do this later. It's doing this thing might mean we can't do this other thing at all. Or it'll mean that instead of that chart being. Steady until we …”
Insight
Subscribing is a far higher-intent signal than social media follows
“Subscribe as like an action is pretty heavyweight. It's like a costly signal, right? It's not as easy as just like mashing the follow button on a bunch of accounts on Twitter or something like that. If someone is subscribed to you, they're kind of granting you…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lenny Rachitsky: Product Pass bundle was targeted by fraud rings in China
“You get a free year of cursor, and lovable, and bolt, and replet, and v-zero. I think that's five. And so that was way too good an offer. People came for it. Bad people. So I just had so many fraudsters, mostly in China, it turned out. Just like all these frau…”
Disclosure
Rachitsky: Julie Zhuo's newsletter inspired me to start my podcast
“I was inspired by your new longtime newsletter, the looking glass. That's essentially my idea was what if I do this for product? And I started on medium, just like you did. And then I moved to sub stack and then it's like, what if I charge for this? And then t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Thousands of companies, including Block and Ramp, use Linear
“Today some of the top growth companies, like, Block, Vercel, Ramp, Retool, Mercury, and Substack are building with Linear. We also additionally have lots of other companies, like thousands of other companies using, using Linear.”
Disclosure
Meservey: I built my Twitter following specifically to reach Substack's target writers
“And before I worked at Substack, I had a sleepy account of a couple hundred followers that Didn't do very much. And I realized that the people that we were trying to speak to are heavy Twitter users, whether it's media people or online writers. And so I decide…”
Assertion Supported
Rachitsky: Pragmatic Engineer is Substack's top tech newsletter
“Your newsletter is the number one technology newsletter on Substack, called the Pragmatic Engineer, by the way.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Orosz: Pragmatic Engineer gained 1,000 paid subscribers in its first six weeks
“I announced my newsletter. I told people I'm gonna go full-time on this. I had maybe 10,000 Twitter followers and I don't know, like maybe a thousand on LinkedIn or something like that. And people started signing up the next day. I had a hundred subscribers in…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Orosz: Pragmatic Engineer reached 189K subscribers, adding 80K in 90 days
“Well, just today I checked and it said 189,000 Subscribers. It's the past, I think the past 90 days has been growing with 80,000 subscribers. So it's just, it's almost a thousand people per day”
Assertion Supported
Rachitsky: Lenny's Newsletter is Substack's top business publication
“My newsletter is the number one business newsletter on Substack, and so we're connected in this really special, weird way, and I thought it would be pretty fun to just explore this weird path that we're on doing this newsletter thing.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Substack's 2017 YC pitch predicted podcasting and network effects
“We're actually doing all those things now that Chris got up on stage and talked about, like, you know, one day in the future, subsets going to get into podcasting and we're going to have this network effect that helps writers grow by virtue of there being othe…”
Disclosure
Substack runs an invite-only Product Lab of 100 writers
“We actually have now, we've set up something called the product lab, which I'm really excited about... This is just like an invite only little group of a hundred or so writers that, we know are interested in being on the bleeding edge of what Substack is becom…”
Disclosure
Lenny Rachitsky: Substack recommendations drive 70% of my subscriber growth
“At this .70% of my growth is coming from this one feature. There's something like, 500 other newsletters recommending me. And as soon as the feature launched, and you look at my growth chart, it's just a hockey stick starting that day.”
Disclosure
Lenny Rachitsky earned $100K upon reaching 1,000 paid Substack subscribers
“When I got to a thousand paid subscribers, Which feels very doable. I was making around a hundred K, which is exactly, I think it was Kevin Kelly's thousand true fans. Like, it was exactly like, oh wow, I could make a living with a thousand true fans for real.”
Disclosure
Rachitsky: Substack's default recommendation named 'Lenny's Newsletter'
“The reason I called my newsletter Lenny's newsletter is because that was the default recommendation subs that gave me when I signed up. They're just like, call it this. And I'm like, okay, because I don't know. I didn't have no plans to actually be doing this …”
Disclosure
Lenny Rachitsky published free for nine months before charging readers
“It took me nine months of doing it every week for free to get to a point where I felt like I can keep doing this. I enjoy doing this. People continue to value it. Where I decided to turn on paid.”
Disclosure
Lenny Rachitsky rotates recommendations to boost newsletters by 1k subscribers
“So my system right now is I want to share the wealth as much as I can. So I rotate through different newsletters. I help get them Say a thousand subscribers and then move on to the next one.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Substack operates with just four PMs across three full-stack teams
“So we have Four product managers in addition to myself, and we have three essentially kind of like full stack product teams now that have a PM and an engineering manager, data person, or a designer engineers, and things are starting to roll.”