The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
GPT-5 will normalize as a useful tool rather than changing everything
“GPT-V is like surely going to be extremely useful and like solve some whole new echelon of Problems. Hopefully they'll be faster. Hopefully it'll be better on all these ways, but like fundamentally the same problems that exist in the world are still going to b…”
Turley: Pre-ChatGPT, OpenAI shipped models like hardware instead of software
“Treating the model as a product was not a thing before ChatGPT, because we would ship it more like hardware, where, you know, there'd be a release like GPT-III, and then we would start working on GPT-IV, and these weird giant Big spend R&D projects that would …”
GPT-4 was OpenAI's first model with reliably predictable capabilities before training
“GPT-IV was the first model that we trained where we could reliably predict the capabilities of that model beforehand. Based on the amount of compute that we were going to put into it, and you could actually, we did like a scientific study to show like, hey, th…”
Schillace: Believing Gemini's parity with GPT-4 means AI stalled is dumb
“When Gemini came out, all the press take was like, oh, it's not that different from GPT-IV. I guess we're done with AI now. We can go back to bed. I'm like, that is the dumbest possible interpretation of that story.”
Schulhoff: Explicit chain-of-thought prompting is still needed for GPT-4 and GPT-4o
“Actually for those models, I'd say no need, but if you're using GPT-IV, GPT-IV-O, then it's still worth it.”
Winters: LLMs risk confidently misleading PMs on strategic work
“So I think at this point, it's a pretty good no code, low code tool. And it's obviously gonna become a lot more than that. But for a lot of these other use cases that people are touting, there's a decent chance confidently tells you the wrong thing. And that w…”
Stripe deploys internal GPT-4 tool with shareable prompt presets across teams
“We stood up an integration to GPT-IV and an internal UI to use models like that. But here's the thing that I want to kind of relate to all of your viewers. We find that we built presets into that. So when you work with large language models, you want to write …”