Prediction certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

Mullenweg predicts AI-assisted code will approach a majority within five years

Matt Mullenweg · Matt Mullenweg on the future of open source and why he’s taking a stand · Mar 2, 2025 · at 31:20

Matt Mullenweg, CEO of Automattic and co-creator of WordPress, discusses the impact of AI coding agents like Devin on open-source codebases.

0:00 / 0:12exact quote · 12.5s

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“I don't know how much of WordPress's code right now is AI assisted or something like that. But I think over the next five years, it definitely approaches maybe a majority.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

The claim, plainly

Over the next five years, AI-assisted code will approach a majority of open-source and WordPress code contributions.

a quote alone can be ambiguous, so this restates it with the references and context of the conversation around it resolved. AI-written; the tape below the player is the source.

How this resolves

Verification couldn't pin this to a public evidence class, so it stays on the record with its date, unassessed rather than guessed.

prediction date: 2030-03-02, stated by the speaker

Mentioned

AI WordPress

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Mullenweg predicts AI-assisted code will approach a majority within five years

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