GitHub Copilot

part of GitHub includes GitHub Copilot Chat, GitHub Copilot Workspace

28 statements across 9 episodes · 9 bullish · 5 bearish · 9 people on the record · first statement Sep 4, 2022 by Ryan J. Salva · said 119 times in 17 episodes since 2022 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Lenny Rachitsky (76), Ryan J. Salva (21), Inbal Shani (5), Tamar Yehoshua (2), Michael Truell (2), Marc Andreessen (2), Kevin Weil (2), Dan Shipper (2)

tap a year for its mentions
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00135251020222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 2 mentions in 1 episode
2025 20 mentions in 9 episodes 2 per episode
2024 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2023 47 mentions in 3 episodes 16 per episode
2022 47 mentions in 2 episodes 24 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about GitHub Copilot, oldest first

Sep 4, 2022 bullish
Prediction Held up
Salva: AI will be core to the developer toolchain by 2026
“Students build not only the kind of the tool, the software that the business needs, and then get to put that on their resume and their, you know, application for college and university, but they also get to learn by kind of using the tools that likely are goin…”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 16:16 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Salva: GitHub Copilot generates 40% of code for Python developers
“And so just to put a fine point on that stat, it is 40% is specifically for Python developers. It candidly, it varies depending upon the language.”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 45:02 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022 neutral
Insight
Salva: AI code completion latency sweet spot is roughly 200 milliseconds
“It seems like right now it's around 200 milliseconds. So depending upon where you're in the world, your latency can go up or down a little bit from there, but it seems like the sweet spot is somewhere around 200 milliseconds.”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 26:09 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022 positive
Insight
Salva: Copilot sustains developer flow by eliminating Stack Overflow and doc lookups
“Copilot. Helps developers stay in the flow by bringing all of that information into the editor, preventing them from having to go check out documentation or watch a tutorial or go to Stack Overflow and, you know, either find an answer or worse, have to ask a q…”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 13:47 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Salva: GitHub Copilot Will Never Replace Developers
“Copilot is not a replacement for a developer. It will never be.”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 52:01 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
GitHub Copilot requires rare GPUs with limited global supply
“Co-pilot for both training and operating the models requires some very rare and unique GPUs that there's not a lot of global supply of.”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 49:16 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
GitHub Copilot launched without content filters before adopting basic word blocklists
“When we first started out, we didn't really have any filter on Copilot whatsoever in the very, very, very early days. And then eventually we're like, okay. It needs to be slightly more controlled experience. We need to edit out, you know, some of the most egre…”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 41:51 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
Salva: Copilot originated inside GitHub Next's exploratory R&D team
“The original team that was working on co-pilot At GitHub was, you know, it's a team that we call GitHub Next. And essentially their job is to work on second and third horizon projects. What some folks might call moonshots, right? Things that we never really ex…”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 27:47 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Salva: Researcher Uga D'Amour is the primary innovator behind GitHub Copilot
“Uga is the primary researcher who really kind of like is the true innovator for Copilot. He deserves credit for the initial work and is a brilliant technologist and futurist.”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 1:02:48 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022
Disclosure
Salva: GitHub embedded Copilot researchers into production squads for knowledge transfer
“We made an intentional decision to take some of the researchers who were in the next team and for a finite period of time, move them over to create a new EPD squad, right? We want them to be researchers, but we need to do knowledge transfer, and we need to act…”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 33:20 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022
Assertion Supported
Salva: GitHub Copilot is powered by OpenAI's Codex, derived from GPT-3
“Copilot is essentially that magnified by many lines of code. It is multi-line autocomplete that is Fundamentally powered by an AI model called Codex, which is a derivative of another kind of one that you might be familiar with, GPT-III.”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 11:55 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
Sep 4, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scaling Copilot required scaling product management more than engineering
“And so the amount of kind of give and take between developers and us as a product team, Has really required us to scale up more of the product team than it has the engineering team.”
Ryan J. Salva Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 50:50 The role of AI in new product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub)
May 4, 2023 bullish
Insight
Generating test boilerplate with GitHub Copilot profoundly improves overall code quality
“It's actually using co-pilot to generate your test cases turns out to be extremely valuable. There's a reasonable amount of boilerplate that is kind of like repeated code and concepts that goes into writing good tests, but you also have to reason very carefull…”
David Singleton May 4, 2023 ▶ 1:08:21 Building a culture of excellence | David Singleton (CTO of Stripe)
Jul 30, 2023 negative
Insight
Forsgren: AI Coding Tools Should Free Up Cognitive Space, Not Prompt Layoffs
“Anyone who's looking at that and like, dear CEOs or whoever who are like, now I can lay off half my workforce. That's not what this is about, right? It's not about taking a task and cutting your time in half because now what we've enabled is your ability to do…”
Nicole Forsgren Jul 30, 2023 ▶ 52:35 How to measure and improve developer productivity | Nicole Forsgren (Microsoft Research, Github)
Dec 1, 2023
Assertion Supported
GitHub began prototyping Copilot with OpenAI's GPT models in 2020
“In 2020, we had a group of GitHub engineers that were working with the design team and we opened AI GPT to really figure out how we're going to build that and how it can work to help developers to do their job more efficiently, more productively, improve their…”
Inbal Shani Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 19:37 The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)
Dec 1, 2023
Insight
GitHub CPO: Developers reject AI tools requiring extra steps or waiting
“If it's an extra tool, and if you need to ask for it, and if you need to ask for it, or if you need to wait for it, then developers will not adopt it.”
Inbal Shani Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 19:20 The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)
Dec 1, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
GitHub surveys find developers write code 55% faster using Copilot
“And they're writing codes based on our surveys, 55% faster.”
Inbal Shani Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 10:55 The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)
Dec 1, 2023 negative
Insight
GitHub CPO: Raw coding speed fails as a developer productivity metric
“The most easiest one is time, but time is, it's funny what I'm going to say, but time is not quantifiable. As a success metrics, because you can write really bad code really fast.”
Inbal Shani Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 22:07 The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)
Dec 1, 2023 positive
Insight
GitHub CPO: Sketch-to-code AI is for collaboration, not building production software
“I'm thinking about that as a better collaboration tool versus a production tool. Because right now, a lot of the time where we see challenges in articulating ideas is the communication. It's the clarity of thoughts. So if we can leverage AI to improve collabor…”
Inbal Shani Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 25:27 The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)
Dec 1, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
GitHub CPO: Accenture retained 88% of code suggested by GitHub Copilot
“I think Accenture is a recent one that we got where they had 88% of suggested code was retained.”
Inbal Shani Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 11:50 The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)
Dec 1, 2023 negative
Opinion
GitHub CPO: Companies cannot cut engineering headcount due to AI tools
“You cannot cut your people. You have to have a human in the loop. Copilot is a copilot, is not a pilot.”
Inbal Shani Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 12:25 The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)
Dec 1, 2023 bullish
Assertion Supported
GitHub Copilot reaches over 37,000 organizations and 1.5 million developers
“We have over 37,000 organization and more than 1.5 million developers that are using Copilot.”
Inbal Shani Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 10:47 The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)
Dec 19, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
GitHub Copilot generated over one million lines of code at Shopify
“Last year I tweeted out you know, maybe a tangent, but I tweeted out that GitHub Copilot has written over one million lines of code for Shopify”
Farhan Thawar Dec 19, 2024 ▶ 45:32 How Shopify builds a high-intensity culture | Farhan Thawar (VP and Head of Eng)
Dec 19, 2024 neutral
Insight
AI coding tools will reach engineer-level only when they delete code
“What I want to see is GitHub Copilot deleting one million lines of code. Like that's when, you know, we're actually at this point where this is close to an engineer.”
Farhan Thawar Dec 19, 2024 ▶ 45:44 How Shopify builds a high-intensity culture | Farhan Thawar (VP and Head of Eng)
May 1, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Truell: Most of the original GitHub Copilot team has left Microsoft
“The group of people that worked on the first version of Copilot have, by and large, gone on to do other things at other places.”
Michael Truell May 1, 2025 ▶ 45:57 The rise of Cursor: The $300M ARR AI tool that engineers can’t stop using | Michael Truell
May 18, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Chennapragada: Independent AI coding tools do not directly threaten GitHub's ecosystem
“And I think the, yeah, the idea again is that, you know, code generation as a tool will unlock lot more products. I mean, they're not all competitors to the fact of they're not all kind of you know doing the same job. I think when you're at the end of the day,…”
Aparna Chennapragada May 18, 2025 ▶ 47:53 Microsoft CPO: If you aren’t prototyping with AI you’re doing it wrong | Aparna Chennapragada
Aug 17, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Balfour: Cursor overtook GitHub Copilot's market share in under nine months
“And so it's amazing to see something like cursor overtake market share of something like GitHub co-pilot in nine months or less, right? Like that, that's how fast it happened.”
Brian Balfour Aug 17, 2025 ▶ 7:52 Why ChatGPT will be the next big growth channel (and how to capitalize on it) | Brian Balfour
Dec 14, 2025
Assertion Supported
The Codex brand name was first used for GitHub Copilot's model
“The first time we used the brand codex at OpenAI was actually the model powering GitHub Copilot.”
Alexander Embirikos Dec 14, 2025 ▶ 39:29 Inside OpenAI: 2026 is the year of agents, AI’s biggest bottleneck, and why compute isn’t the issue
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