why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Agrawal: AIs will use the web 1,000x to 1,000,000x more than humans
“We believe that AIs will use the web a thousand X, a million X, more than humans ever have. And as a result, The web will need to transform.”
Assertion Contradicted
Agrawal: Parallel has the only APIs reaching superhuman performance on research benchmarks
“In fact, like the products we've shipped recently are the only APIs that hit human and even higher than human level performance on a variety of deep research benchmarks.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Agrawal: Recommendation systems, search, and databases are converging into one
“My worldview is currently shaped, shaping into a convergence between recommendation systems and search systems and database systems. I think they're all going to start looking like the same thing.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Agrawal: Parallel serves millions of daily requests ranging from $0.005 to $10
“We now serve, like, millions and millions of requests a day, and it's our cheapest, cheapest requests on our system cost under half a cent. The most expensive requests to our system today can cost 10 dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Agrawal: Patrick Collison advised that a startup's first API design is always wrong
“One of the pieces of advice I got as I was starting this company, I spoke with Patrick Collins at Stripe. On building an API business, he said, like, your first API design will be wrong. Just know that.”