The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stauch: Product-oriented forward-deployed engineers will reduce PM and SE hiring
“I think the need for a lot of product managers is probably going to go down. If you hire really product oriented for deployed software engineers, then they're going to be increasingly making the decisions on what makes sense to build for the max Some number of…”
Jake Stauch Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 54:34 Go hard early: How lessons from Verkada shaped this AI-native IT platform | Jake Stauch (Serval)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stauch: AI Software Categories Will Be Dominated by Single Winners
“And I think the same thing is going to happen in AI. And in this case, a lot of times it might be the incumbent that still wins, but there are going to be AI native competitors creating a massive, massive value in these categories. And I don't know That it's g…”
Jake Stauch Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:17:28 Go hard early: How lessons from Verkada shaped this AI-native IT platform | Jake Stauch (Serval)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stauch: Legacy enterprise software giants will naturally lag in adopting AI
“They have this classic innovators dilemma that it makes it hard to steer the big ship to add these capabilities while still protecting their existing product and revenue not making drastic changes that are not backwards compatible. And so they're just naturall…”
Jake Stauch Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:19:39 Go hard early: How lessons from Verkada shaped this AI-native IT platform | Jake Stauch (Serval)
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