The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Guild predicts Owner's CAC will match Shopify while LTV will exceed Toast
“Which ends up giving us customer acquisition costs in the future that look more like Squarespace or Shopify with lifetime values that are even greater than toasts over time because the attach rate is so high once you earn the trust on free products.”
Adam Guild Mar 27, 2025 ▶ 1:03:35 Scrappy tactics and a huge post-COVID pivot | Adam Guild (Co-founder and CEO of Owner)
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