The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 52 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Winters: Pinterest users pinning by week four reliably retained long-term
“For Pinterest, that was like, okay, we have to get them pinning at least once in the first four weeks. And after four weeks, if they're doing it by the fourth week, we know week five, week six, week seven, we got them. Like they're going to stick around basica…”
Casey Winters May 30, 2024 ▶ 1:02:54 How to build and scale winning marketplaces | Casey Winters (Eventbrite, Pinterest, Grubhub)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Winters: Grubhub users needed a second order in three days for retention
“For Grubhub, we had to get you a second order in the first three days to reliably predict you building that habit.”
Casey Winters May 30, 2024 ▶ 1:03:06 How to build and scale winning marketplaces | Casey Winters (Eventbrite, Pinterest, Grubhub)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Winters: Delivering two daily orders kept Grubhub restaurants from churning
“So at Grubhub, that was like, you needed to get them two orders a day to stick around as a restaurant, and then they would never, you know, churn.”
Casey Winters May 30, 2024 ▶ 1:07:53 How to build and scale winning marketplaces | Casey Winters (Eventbrite, Pinterest, Grubhub)
Disclosure
Winters: Grubhub gave $10 mobile promos because app users doubled LTV
“So when our mobile app found product market fit at Grubhub, we decided to give everyone 10 dollars off their first mobile order because LTV doubled if you got the app. And it was a little bit of a gambit, but a bunch of people used that promo, and then they st…”
Casey Winters May 30, 2024 ▶ 1:08:58 How to build and scale winning marketplaces | Casey Winters (Eventbrite, Pinterest, Grubhub)
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