why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2031
Dell: US electricity demand CAGR will jump 5x to 10%
“Over the last 20 years, electricity demand has gone at roughly a two percent compounded annual growth grade, and, you know, we think it'll go to, you know, somewhere on the order of 10%, which is obviously a five hex, which on a base as large as energy is real…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dell: Next 50 years of energy defined by solar, batteries, and software
“We think that there's a generational kind of paradigm shift happening in the energy industry, where the last five decades of energy were defined by coal and then Natural gas as the marginal megawatt. And the next five decades will be defined by solar batteries…”
Prediction Partly held up
Dell: AI will soon be the world's largest consumer of electricity
“And it's now the fastest growing and soon going to be the largest consumer of electricity in the world. And its name is AI.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dell: In year 30 Base Power will almost certainly make cells
“In year 30, it almost certainly will.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dell: Grid is massively oversized for peak demand, driving up costs
“The grid is a system by which the transmission distribution happens, and it's built for the peak, so it's massively oversized, which means that you have a bunch of inefficiency, and that it's not being used all the time. It's not being highly utilized, and whe…”
Assertion Supported
Dell: Base Core battery is custom-designed and manufactured in-house
“It's called the base core, and it is our custom-built battery, and it is the output of the last three years of learning how to install, operate, and manage tens of thousands of distributed home batteries. It's completely designed by us from the ground up. It's…”
Assertion Contradicted
Dell: US electricity demand grew at inflation rate over 50 years
“Over the last 50 years, demand for electricity in the U.S. Has grown at basically the rate of inflation, so it has not really grown much.”
Assertion Supported
Dell: 80% of Texas electricity market is deregulated, 20% regulated
“In Texas, 80% of the market is deregulated. 20% of the market is still regulated.”