why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: 2009 legacy VC firms were lone wolves who disliked each other
“All of the sort of legacy venture firms at that point, they were all like that. They were all just like tribes of lone wolves. And then the thing that we knew that was not publicly known was, generally speaking, inside the firms, they didn't even like each oth…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: AI will probably produce more single-person companies
“But like, AI, there will probably be more, there will probably be more like single person companies, you know, from here on out.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Modern introspection and therapy are 20th-century inventions
“And you probably know if you go back before a hundred years ago, it never would have occurred to anybody to be introspective. Like it's the whole idea of, I mean, just all of the modern conceptions around introspection and therapy and all the things that kind …”
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: The New York Times claimed early internet user metrics were fake
“New York Times kept running stories talking about how the whole thing was fake anyway. They kept saying that like all the numbers were made up, and like there actually wasn't anybody online. It was like a tiny little user base, and we were all like inflating t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Elon Musk conducts up to 120 five-minute design reviews daily
“He'll do like a 12, 14 hour stretch where he'll do design reviews with, but the way that he does it, he does five minutes per engineer. Right. And so he does five to six divided by five. It's been way too long in this podcast. How much is that? 12? He can do 1…”
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Allen & Company is the only 1920s boutique bank surviving unchanged
“There's one firm that survives in the old model, and that's Allen & Company. And there are other boutique investment banks today, but Allen & Company was founded in the 19 twenties and has, you know, has, is uniquely the one that survived in the original model…”
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Netscape was the largest internet ad company until 1997
“So Netscape was the largest internet advertising company until, I think, 97.”
Assertion Contradicted
Andreessen: Only 1 of 12 Recruits Agreed to Join Jim Clark
“So there were like a dozen of us in there. And I remember that dinner very, very precisely for two reasons. Number one is I was the only one of the dozen to basically to say yes.”
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: IBM held 80% of total tech industry market cap in mid-1980s
“They were in the mid-eighties, they were 80% of the market capitalization of the entire tech industry, right? There's nothing even close to that.”