supercuts / didnt-hold-up
Didn’t hold up
The most confident predictions the public record went against, highest certainty first. · 13 clips, 3 minutes, hands free.
0:00 / 0:05exact quote · 5.2s
1/13Gerstner: Apple has a near-zero probability of outsourcing its AI to Gemini
Brad Gerstner · 2024Didn’t hold upfull source →
1Gerstner: Apple has a near-zero probability of outsourcing its AI to GeminiBrad Gerstner · 5sDidn’t hold up
2Gerstner: Tesla Robotaxi will likely launch in select cities by Q2 2025Brad Gerstner · 13sDidn’t hold up
3Gerstner: 'Death of software' narrative will look silly within 24 monthsBrad Gerstner · 48sDidn’t hold up
4Madra: US open-source AI will hit the global top three by 2026Sunny Madra · 11sDidn’t hold up
5Gerstner: ChatGPT will likely cross 1 billion weekly active users in 2025Brad Gerstner · 10sDidn’t hold up
6Gerstner: Congressional Democrats will file federal lawsuit against DOGE budget cutsBrad Gerstner · 17sDidn’t hold up
7Gerstner: Next-Gen AI Frontier Models Will Arrive in Q2 2025Brad Gerstner · 16sDidn’t hold up
8Gerstner: Tech IPO Dam Will Break in Second Half of 2024Brad Gerstner · 10sDidn’t hold up
9Gerstner: US tariffs will ultimately settle around $300B to $400BBrad Gerstner · 8sDidn’t hold up
10Gerstner: Tesla FSD 13 will deliver another 10x MPCI improvementBrad Gerstner · 9sDidn’t hold up
11Gerstner: Meta's Llama 4 will likely arrive by late 2024Brad Gerstner · 9sDidn’t hold up
12Gerstner: Altimeter expects four portfolio IPOs, including Cerebras, CoreWeave, and DatabricksBrad Gerstner · 10sDidn’t hold up
13Gerstner Forecasts 250k GPUs in 2025 and 1-2M in 2026 for StargateBrad Gerstner · 7sDidn’t hold up