why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
The AI model you use today is the worst you will ever use
“The model that you use today is the worst AI model that you'll ever use for the rest of your life”
Insight
If an AI model partially works today, it will excel in months
“If the model can kind of do it, then it's going to be great at it in a few months.”
Disclosure
OpenAI will enter and compete in new product categories, says Kevin Weil
“And that's an opportunity for us in places where we think we can play a role. We, where we think we have a perspective. We'll go compete.”
Insight
Frontier AI capabilities cannot be managed top-down, argues Kevin Weil
“In an AI world, you need to do that because the IMLs are so new. We don't, you don't top down know all of the capabilities. You see them kind of coming through the mist and we're better at finding all of the opportunities when we have a lot of smart people Thi…”
Disclosure
OpenAI measures growth primarily by weekly active users, says Kevin Weil
“Well, I mean, we look at weekly active users. That's sort of the metric that we goal ourselves by from a growth perspective.”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI is growing faster than Instagram did, says Kevin Weil
“I mean, for one, I, we have grown faster than anything I've ever seen. And I thought I had seen fast growth when I was at Instagram, for example.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
OpenAI will transition to measuring daily active users, predicts Kevin Weil
“And over time, I think it's going to be more natural for us to measure daily active users because really if we're doing our job and you're using ChatGPT on a daily basis and hopefully multiple times per day, Because it can help you multiple times per day with …”