The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Gerstner: NVIDIA will likely be the first $10 trillion company
“I think NVIDIA will likely be the first 10 trillion dollar company”
Brad Gerstner Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 55:35 NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Huang: $1T in legacy data center infrastructure must be modernized in 4-5 years
“And we just know that we have a trillion dollars with the data centers that we have to modernize. And so right now as we speak, if we were to have a trajectory over the next four or five years to modernize that old stuff, that's not unreasonable.”
Jensen Huang Oct 13, 2024 ▶ 33:23 Ep17. Welcome Jensen Huang | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2024
Patel: Google built rack-scale AI systems with Broadcom in 2018 before NVIDIA
“Google actually did this alongside Broadcom you know, and they did it before Nvidia, right? You know, today everyone's freaking out about, or not freaking out, but like everyone's like very excited about Nvidia's Blackwell system, right? It is a rack Of GPUs. …”
Dylan Patel Dec 23, 2024 ▶ 9:24 AI Semiconductor Landscape feat. Dylan Patel | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2024
Gurley: NVIDIA has 65% operating margins while growing over 100%
“You have a company at a 3.3 trillion market cap that's still growing over a hundred percent a year, and the margins are insane. I mean, 65% operating margins. There's only like five companies in the S&P 500 at that level, and they certainly aren't growing at t…”
Bill Gurley Oct 13, 2024 ▶ 3:40 Ep18. Jensen Recap - Competitive Moat, X.AI, Smart Assistant | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
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