The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: DeepSeek has displaced Meta's Llama in enterprise AI experimentation
“I heard from several inference players that you and I are friends with that all of a sudden DeepSeek rather than Lama is the enterprise open source model of choice that everybody's experimenting with and playing with.”
Brad Gerstner Mar 2, 2025 ▶ 18:20 Grok 3, AI Memory & Voice, China, DOGE, Public Market Pull Back | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Insight
Gerstner: Open Source Will Rapidly Commoditize Non-Frontier AI Models
“Apart from the people who are on the very frontier, if you're on the frontier and you have something totally different, it seems to me that that's a place where that is defensible. But if you're not on the frontier, man, it seems that these are going to be rea…”
Brad Gerstner Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 18:58 Ep6. AI Demand / Supply - Models, Agents, the $2T Compute Build Out, Need for More Nuclear & More · Bg2 Pod
Assertion Supported
Gurley: Meta restricts free Llama usage for apps over 700M users
“Some of the players, most notably meta with Lama, have a usage restriction against the free use of the model at seven hundred million, and that's what you were referring to, and so at least in a tweet Sam suggested they won't have that in theirs.”
Bill Gurley Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 28:03 Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 · Bg2 Pod
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: Meta charges hyperscalers licensing fees for Llama models
“Where he said they already charge license fees to the large hyperscalers to use Lama and to provide it to them in certain ways, etc. I think it's de minimis revenue in the scheme of Meta, but, you know, he's smart enough in that. Bill Gurley: I don't know. Bra…”
Brad Gerstner Jan 11, 2025 ▶ 25:01 Market Predictions, Rates & Inflation, DOGE, CES, AI Compute | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
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