The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Huang: OpenAI is likely the next multi-trillion dollar hyperscaler
“I think that OpenAI is likely going to be the next multi-trillion dollar hyperscale company. Hyperscale like, ah, like Meta's a hyperscale. Google's a hyperscale. They're going to have consumer and enterprise services, and, ah, they are very likely going to be…”
Jensen Huang Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 4:00 NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2024
Patel: Google built rack-scale AI systems with Broadcom in 2018 before NVIDIA
“Google actually did this alongside Broadcom you know, and they did it before Nvidia, right? You know, today everyone's freaking out about, or not freaking out, but like everyone's like very excited about Nvidia's Blackwell system, right? It is a rack Of GPUs. …”
Dylan Patel Dec 23, 2024 ▶ 9:24 AI Semiconductor Landscape feat. Dylan Patel | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Gurley: 80% to 90% of Users Will Pick Google on Choice Screens
“If they're forced to do the search and Apple's somehow cut out of the economics, and then Google ends up making more money, because I think the consumers are going to choose 80 or 90% Google.”
Bill Gurley Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 1:02:22 Ep14. Public Market Volatility, AI Air Pocket, $GOOG Ruling | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
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