why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Gurley: Nvidia Agreed to Buy CoreWeave's Unsold Compute Capacity
“One of the more peculiar of all the deals is, and this was disclosed in a CoreWeave filing, was NVIDIA has promised to buy any of CoreWeave's service availability that they can't sell to anyone else.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: OpenAI Has Shelved Multiple Products Due to Compute Shortages
“I think they have four or five products literally sitting on the shelf because they don't have the compute to deliver it to customers.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Cutting-edge GPUs will be used for training two years, then inference
“When you talk about two years for GPUs, they're going to, cutting edge GPUs are going to be used for cutting edge training for the, you know, frontier models in that first two year period. But all these things are going to continue to get used for inference.”
Opinion
Gurley: Stargate sounds like a better-funded version of CoreWeave
“It sounds to me like maybe a, an even better funded version of CoreWeave”
Assertion Supported
Patel: Cisco was fueled by speculative debt whereas NVIDIA is cash-backed
“Cisco's revenue, a lot of it was funded through private-slash-credit investments into building out telecom infrastructure, right? When we look at NVIDIA's revenue sources, very little of it is private-slash-credit, right? And in some cases, yes, it's private-s…”
Disclosure
Nadella: Microsoft Partnered With CoreWeave to Catch Up to ChatGPT Demand
“That, that we did because we all got caught with the hit called ChatGPT and OpenAI APIs, right? Yeah, we were completely, I mean, like, yeah, it was impossible. There's no supply chain planning I could have done in you know, what is it, you know, like none of …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Hyperscalers and OpenAI are solely focused on 1-3 gigawatt power sites
“When I talk to CoreWeave, when I talk to Azure, when I talk to OpenAI, when I talk to Amazon, Google, et cetera, not one of them Is talking about anything other than how do we find the facilities that can support a gigawatt or two gigawatts or three gigawatts …”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gerstner: Altimeter expects four portfolio IPOs, including Cerebras, CoreWeave, and Databricks
“I think we may have four IPOs in the pipeline in the next four to six months. The rumors out there around companies like Cerebris and CoreWeave and Databricks, those are all in our portfolios.”
Disclosure
Dell: Dell delivered its first GB300 system to CoreWeave
“Yeah, we delivered the first GB 300 a couple of days ago to CoreWeave. We announced that. We actually have delivered another GB 300 system to another customer.”
Disclosure
Gerstner: Altimeter was one of the largest buyers in CoreWeave's IPO
“As you know we're shareholders in CoreWeave. Since a couple rounds ago, we were one of the largest buyers in the IPO, and we're happy we did.”
Disclosure
Gerstner: Investment Banks Are Actively Gauging Buy-Side Interest for Upcoming Tech IPOs
“I'm on the buy side. So when Goldman or Morgan Stanley want to sell one of these things, our phone rings. And they want to check market conditions. They want to check what we're thinking, you know, and then eventually you know, the roadshow occurs, et cetera. …”