The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Gerstner: China No Longer Depends on Nvidia for AI Inference
“BYD is designing a better car, and CATL is designing a better battery, and their glow, their vertically integrated supply chain around semiconductors no longer is dependent upon NVIDIA for inference. Now they're running inference at DeepSeq on the Ascend nine …”
Brad Gerstner Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 8:38 NVDA GTC, M&A Wiz / Goog $32 B Deal, April 2 Tariff Uncertainty; Huawei Belt & Road; ChatGPT | BG2 · Bg2 Pod
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurley: Tariffs on BYD will make Detroit automakers less competitive
“Detroit is not globally competitive anymore, and putting tariffs on BYD's cars is not going to make Detroit more competitive. It's going to make them less competitive, and they're going to fall further behind.”
Bill Gurley Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 32:02 DeepSeek, Open Source, Tariffs, DOGE, Market Impact | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gurley: Shenzhen entrepreneurial energy remains high despite reports of startup slump
“A lot of the locals heavily dispute that Financial Times graph that was going around about the number of startups. They said it just mismeasured the whole thing. And so, no, I don't sense that there's any lack of enthusiasm from entrepreneurs in towns like She…”
Bill Gurley Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 59:19 China, China, China. Breaking Down China’s Tech Surge | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Opinion
Gurley: BYD and Chinese OEMs are most likely to rival Tesla
“If I had to handicap anybody, it would probably be BYD or one of the Chinese manufacturers.”
Bill Gurley Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 21:35 Ep4. Tesla FSD 12, Imitation AI Models, Open vs Closed AI Models, Delaware vs Elon, & Market Update · Bg2 Pod
Assertion Supported
Gurley: BYD is world's largest EV maker producing four million vehicles
“For those people that don't know, BYD's the largest EV manufacturer in the world, had about four million vehicles.”
Bill Gurley Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 14:27 China, China, China. Breaking Down China’s Tech Surge | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
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