Prediction Open AI assessment confidence: 85% certainty 4/5 debate potential 3/5

Gerstner bets reliable AI agents will autonomously book hotels within two years

Brad Gerstner · Ep18. Jensen Recap - Competitive Moat, X.AI, Smart Assistant | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod · Oct 13, 2024 · at 41:26

Brad Gerstner wagers $5,000 (later $50,000) that production AI agents with memory and execution capabilities will launch within two years.

0:00 / 0:24exact quote · 24.9s
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“Over, under, I'll set the line at two years until we have an agent that has memory and can take action. And the canonical use case, of course, that I used was that I could tell my agent, book me the Mercer Hotel next Tuesday in New York at the lowest price. And I said, over, under, you know, two years on getting that done, I said, I'll start. 5000 bucks. I'll take the under.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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