The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Evans: Lack of network effects makes ChatGPT's early lead fragile
“Given that there's no network effects, or don't, or not yet any network effects in LLMs, that feels very fragile. Like, you know, if you remember, you know, I cannot, you know, remember, like, everyone used Yahoo, and then everyone switched to Google, because …”
Evans: The horizontal portal model might have worked under different management
“And if Yahoo or AOL had been in a different place, maybe the portal model would have worked. You know, maybe that horizontal model would have worked better with a completely different kind of management.”
Evans: Crypto resembles early 1990s internet before foundational protocols existed
“Whereas it seems to me the kind of creative energy around crypto was sort of, like, it was more like the creative energy of the internet in, like, the late eighties and early nineties.
In that there was no HTTP.
There was no SSL.
There was no SMTP.
Yes, there …”