The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Insight
Evans: Consumer tech is driven by cultural insight, not software engineering
“A lot of like consumer tech now is as much pop culture as it is tech. You know, is Snapchat tech or is that pop culture? You know, that, the inside, whatever you think the answer was, it wasn't software engineering. It was some insight about how people wanted …”
Benedict Evans Jul 13, 2021 ▶ 7:37 Creativity and Optimism
Insight
Evans: UX and platform shifts create discontinuities that produce breakout companies
“Just shifting the UX and the platform is often kind of a discontinuity that creates new companies. And so you have that when you go to cloud, you get Salesforce. When you go to mobile, you get not just Instagram, but also Snapchat, and then TikTok”
Benedict Evans Feb 6, 2023 ▶ 5:05 Generative search
Insight
Evans: Instagram Combines Friend and Interest Graphs, Unlike Snapchat
“Instagram, Snap is basically your friends, whereas Instagram is sort of a mix of your friends and your interest graph, so celebrities, designers, architects, whatever it is you're interested in.”
Benedict Evans Mar 14, 2022 ▶ 29:11 The Evolution of networks
Insight
Evans: Stories revolutionized the content unit, unlike TikTok's wrapper model
“Whereas a story is like a new type of content that you can create that could then be presented inside Snapchat, or then of course copied and presented inside Instagram. And then of course inside every fucking thing. So I think LinkedIn does have stories. There…”
Benedict Evans Feb 14, 2021 ▶ 16:25 Clubhouse and the endless cycle of social apps
Assertion Supported
Evans: Twitter has 217M DAUs and $5B revenue, trailing Snap
“Disconnect between the kind of cultural significance of the company and the fact that it's only did like five billion dollars last year. You know, it's a tiny company in the scale of tech. It did five billion dollars. It's got two hundred and seventeen million…”
Benedict Evans Apr 18, 2022 ▶ 1:22 The future of Twitter
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: More people use Snapchat than own a gaming console
“More people use Snapchat than have a games console. And so, I'm so true, you know, Snapchat has like, I think, four, four, Snapchat has four hundred million DAUs, and there's maybe a hundred and fifty million people with a games console.”
Benedict Evans Oct 18, 2021 ▶ 4:22 Metaverse - beyond the buzzword
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