why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Ad agencies replace 10-person two-week workflows using ChatGPT and Midjourney
“ChatGPT plus mid-journey means two people in a day instead of a team of 10 people in two weeks.”
Opinion
Evans: Midjourney is not a real product yet, looks like a hack
“Midjourney isn't even a product yet. We're all talking about it. It's not actually a product. It's still like an engineer, like a dorm room. It looks like a dorm room hack.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Caron-Brown: Visual AI will evolve faster than text AI
“We're probably going to see way more and faster evolution with the visual stuff than we are with the written.”
Insight
Evans: Midjourney does not threaten art because tools cannot replace artistic sensibility
“Anybody can buy a camera, but that doesn't make you a photographer. You know, anybody can fire up mid journey. That doesn't mean you're going to, you know, doesn't mean you're going to produce something great in the way that somebody who has the right sensibil…”
Insight
Evans: Generative AI generates patterns without structural understanding of underlying objects
“It's making a pattern without any structural understanding of what the actual thing actually is.”
Opinion
Evans: Midjourney is not a product yet, just a Discord channel
“So they've kind of productized mid journey because mid journey basically isn't a product at the moment. It's a discord channel.”
Insight
Evans: ChatGPT's fluent prose masks its underlying lack of understanding
“With chat GPT, the lateral language generation is so good that you can't see the model behind it. It isn't as good as the text. Like the prose generation is perfect. The grammar is perfect. So that hides the fact that the understanding behind it isn't quite th…”
Prediction Held up
Evans: Running image generation models locally on phones is months or years away
“You know, we're going, quickly going to go to a model in which you can run stable diffusion on the journey yourself on your computer or on your phone. That's like months or years away. It's not decades away. That's close.”