The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Insight
Benedict Evans: Vision Pro mirrors the 1984 Mac's uncertain utility and price
“In that sense, it's actually, you could kind of compare it to the Macintosh, which launches in 1984 and was over 7000 dollars in today's money. And most people still didn't know why they needed it. And I think Apple only sold like half a million in the first y…”
Benedict Evans Jun 18, 2023 ▶ 3:26 Vision Pro, two weeks on
Insight
Evans: 1980s Apple failed because CIOs controlled PC purchasing
“And the buyer for PCs in 1984 was a CIO who wanted 5000 of them at a price to go under people's desks, probably actually to collect to a mainframe or to run a single line of business application, and they didn't care where the power switch was, and how easy it…”
Benedict Evans Nov 16, 2020 ▶ 14:07 The paradox of Apple
Assertion Supported
Two modern iPads contain more transistors than every 1984 Mac combined
“The SAC and the new iPad has I think 11.8 billion transistors. Which, what does that mean? Well, you're going to do the math. The original Mac in 1984 had 68 K, 68,000 transistors, and they sold 370,000 in the first year. So you can work that out, and it turns…”
Benedict Evans Oct 19, 2020 ▶ 19:44 What the Apple and Facebook events tell us about their product cycles
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