The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Future primary computers will run sandboxed OSs without raw filesystem access
“Well, your main computer is going to be running a sandboxed operating system without Live file system access, probably without running very much native code, and it will be running Chrome, or it will be running iOS, or it will be running something similar, and…”
Benedict Evans Nov 16, 2020 ▶ 27:38 The paradox of Apple
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple's iOS sandboxing makes it impossible for TikTok to read emails.
“TikTok can't read your email. Like on iOS, it cannot. It just can't. A third party app cannot see your email. It's sitting in a sandbox.”
Benedict Evans Mar 20, 2023 ▶ 3:45 The right questions to ask about TikTok
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple's iOS privacy changes shifted ad revenue and hit Snap stock
“And we saw this really clearly, really clear for the first time this summer when Apple makes all these privacy changes in iOS and great chunks of revenue start shifting off other companies, A, either to Off the platform altogether or be actually onto Apple and…”
Benedict Evans Nov 2, 2021 ▶ 5:32 The Meta reality
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple rules force Google Chrome on iOS to use WebKit engine
“Chrome on iOS has to use Apple's rendering engine. It can't use their own rendering engine.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 6:32 App stores: arguing like it's 2009
Disclosure
Evans: Apple Mail and iOS represent roughly 45% of his newsletter audience
“So looking at my stats Apple and Apple mail and iOS are about 45%.”
Benedict Evans Jun 21, 2021 ▶ 31:16 The Business of publishing
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