The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Benedict Evans: Apple's laptop-grade silicon gives Vision Pro an architectural advantage
“Apple is using a high-end laptop SAC in this thing because they have their own, which has massively better performance per watt than anything from Intel. Guess what Meta has to use? They have to use a smartphone chip from Volcom.”
Benedict Evans Jun 18, 2023 ▶ 27:46 Vision Pro, two weeks on
Prediction Held up
Evans: Leading-edge chip fab capex will climb from $20B to $40B
“Which is why Intel had this, you know, this capital project to build new chip capability in the US, and it was twenty billion dollars. And that's just this generation. And there's going to be 40, it's going to be forty billion dollars next year. And the number…”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2022 ▶ 13:50 Ukraine
Assertion Supported
Evans: TSMC makes 5nm chips while Intel is stuck above 10nm
“TSMC is now making this chip at five nanometers, so that's how small the components are, when Intel is stuck at over 10 nanometers.”
Benedict Evans Nov 16, 2020 ▶ 2:26 The paradox of Apple
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