The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Evans: Mainstream users have never heard of Claude despite Silicon Valley hype
“This disconnect between how everyone in the Valley is obsessed with like Claude is three percent better than ChatGPT this week and next week Gemini is overtaking Claude. But then you look at the user numbers. I know users have never heard of Gemini or Claude. …”
Evans: Anthropic Leads AI Frontier, OpenAI and Gemini Trail by 5%
“Because right now we've got, you know, Anthropics ahead at the moment. We have OpenAI and Gemini five percent behind, like not far behind. Grok just, SpaceX Grok Nazi model just came out with like a model that's in like the top At the top of some of the benchm…”
Evans: Survey data shows Claude holds between 0% and 1% consumer usage
“If you look at the, you know, survey data on usage, it's,
It's ChatGPT, and then it's sort of two-thirds of that to a half of that is Gemini and Meta AI.
Even though Meta AI is a fiasco, Llama IV was a fiasco, the new models haven't launched yet, but consume…”
Evans: Meta AI consumer usage rivals Gemini; Claude has zero adoption
“For consumers, Meta AI has got not actually very dissimilar usage to Gemini, and Claude is nowhere.”
Evans: Consumers lack obvious reasons to prefer one AI chatbot over another
“The point is, whatever your use case is for ChatGPT, there's not any particularly obvious reason why you'd be using ChatGPT versus Anthropic versus Meta.ai versus Gemini, and certainly not why you'll stick with it over the next, you know, six months or a year,…”