The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Insight
Evans: The tech industry compulsively shouts buzzwords like Tourette's syndrome
“I sometimes say that the tech industry has Tourette's and instead of people chatting swear words, they shout like bots or voice or Autonomous cars. Yes. Clubhouse. Clubhouse. Clubhouse. and certainly that's the word of the moment.”
Benedict Evans Feb 28, 2021 ▶ 11:54 Who's in the office? Notes on a year of remote work.
Insight
Evans: Clubhouse cannot sustain a 10% cut without proprietary network effects
“Clubhouse needs to build a network, otherwise they can't sustain 10%, and of course Twitter has just bought a newsletter company to try and do that for you. And charge five percent instead of 10%.”
Benedict Evans Feb 14, 2021 ▶ 10:25 Clubhouse and the endless cycle of social apps
Opinion
Evans: Clubhouse outcome is binary, either going to zero or $50 billion
“Is this worth a billion dollars? No. It's either going to go to zero, or it's going to go to 10, or 50, or 20, or something.”
Benedict Evans Feb 14, 2021 ▶ 3:37 Clubhouse and the endless cycle of social apps
Insight
Evans: Substack and Clubhouse relied on Twitter audience funnels
“Clubhouse, while you were driving people to Clubhouse from your Twitter account. To begin with, because it didn't really have a network, and it was, you know, that was one of the things they had to try and build, was to build a network. And the same thing with…”
Benedict Evans Mar 14, 2022 ▶ 5:52 The Evolution of networks
Insight
Caron-Brown: Creators without direct email lists do not own audience
“If you don't own your actual email list, you don't actually have that audience because you could lose it. If clubhouse goes tomorrow, People lose their audience that they've built there if they haven't built it outside.”
Toni Cowan-Brown Mar 14, 2022 ▶ 7:18 The Evolution of networks
Insight
Evans: Clubhouse functions as a Napster for conference panels
“But it's clearly, amongst other things, like a Napster for conferences, for conference panels. Something I've said several times before was conferences are like a bundle of, there's presentations, there's panels, there's talking in the hallways, there's the si…”
Benedict Evans Feb 28, 2021 ▶ 13:57 Who's in the office? Notes on a year of remote work.
Opinion
Evans: Clubhouse recaptures early Twitter's unstructured, informal conversations
“Clubhouse has quite a lot of that vibe of, like, you can have these dynamic new freeform conversations. There's no pressure. You can jump in. You can jump out. It doesn't have to be structured. You don't have to write 10 paragraphs and run it through past PR.”
Benedict Evans Feb 14, 2021 ▶ 6:17 Clubhouse and the endless cycle of social apps
Insight
Evans: Substack and Clubhouse stars succeed by importing existing audiences
“And they spent 20 years, like, building that audience, and then they can take, put that audience in the knapsack and take it to Clubhouse, and take it to Sostak.”
Benedict Evans Feb 14, 2021 ▶ 12:49 Clubhouse and the endless cycle of social apps
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Clubhouse will suffer waves of unanticipated abuse mechanics
“But yeah, they will have waves of abuse. They will have waves of mechanics that you haven't occurred to you just as Twitter did and never did anything about which is what killed that, that use of Twitter.”
Benedict Evans Feb 14, 2021 ▶ 32:35 Clubhouse and the endless cycle of social apps
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 100 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.