The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Survey data shows Claude holds between 0% and 1% consumer usage
“If you look at the, you know, survey data on usage, it's, It's ChatGPT, and then it's sort of two-thirds of that to a half of that is Gemini and Meta AI. Even though Meta AI is a fiasco, Llama IV was a fiasco, the new models haven't launched yet, but consume…”
Benedict Evans Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 17:42 The end of the network effect
Assertion Supported
Evans: Meta AI consumer usage rivals Gemini; Claude has zero adoption
“For consumers, Meta AI has got not actually very dissimilar usage to Gemini, and Claude is nowhere.”
Benedict Evans Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 16:40 How does OpenAI compete?
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