The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Evans: Giving enterprise employees Copilot or ChatGPT has not worked well
“Step one was give everybody co-pilot, and that didn't work too well, because it's kind of, or Claude or ChatGPT, because it's kind of like being in 1997 and giving everybody a web browser. Okay, this is the future, but it's not, that's not, what was the produc…”
Evans: ChatGPT and Claude are thin wrappers over models
“The only actual real thin GPT wrappers are the apps from these companies like chat GPT is a thin GPT wrapper. Claude is a thin GPT wrapper. Like Claude, the website, Claude, the app, is a thin GPT wrapper. It's an input box and an output box, and a little spri…”
Evans: Mainstream users have never heard of Claude despite Silicon Valley hype
“This disconnect between how everyone in the Valley is obsessed with like Claude is three percent better than ChatGPT this week and next week Gemini is overtaking Claude. But then you look at the user numbers. I know users have never heard of Gemini or Claude. …”
Evans: Incumbent industrial firms will not be displaced by AI-accounting startups
“Saint-Gobain is a big French gloss company. They're going to be destroyed by a new glass company that's using Claw to do its accounting. You know, it's a reductive absurd, but of course we'll do this absurd.”
Evans: Survey data shows Claude holds between 0% and 1% consumer usage
“If you look at the, you know, survey data on usage, it's,
It's ChatGPT, and then it's sort of two-thirds of that to a half of that is Gemini and Meta AI.
Even though Meta AI is a fiasco, Llama IV was a fiasco, the new models haven't launched yet, but consume…”
Evans: Replacing enterprise software like SAP with Claude is foolish
“Everyone who works in enterprise software and knows anything about it, kind of put their head in their hands and said, oh my God, do I actually have to explain why this is dumb? Is, you know, you'll use Claude instead of SAP. Fine. If you need me to explain th…”